TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks and Howard Bison scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), spread (-11.5 Howard), and multiple over/under totals (130.5, 131.5, 132.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Maryland-Eastern Shore wins or Howard wins) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline and all spread/total markets across both platforms are logically consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market as written due to the unresolvable contradiction. For winner determination, rely exclusively on Polymarket's moneyline market which correctly maps each team to its own outcome. Spread and over/under markets on both platforms use standard, consistent resolution logic and can be traded with confidence.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market has a critical logical error: both Maryland-Eastern Shore winning and Howard winning both resolve to Yes. This is a tautology that makes the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If Maryland-Eastern Shore wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Howard wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Moneyline market correctly resolves to the actual winner: Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks if they win, Howard Bison if they win. Spread market resolves based on margin (Howard -11.5 threshold). Over/Under markets use standard thresholds (130.5, 131.5, 132.5) with combined team scoring. All markets remain open if postponed and resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup. Quote: 'If the Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks win, the market will resolve to Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks. If the Howard Bison win, the market will resolve to Howard Bison.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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