TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Marist Red Foxes and Rider Broncs scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET at Rider's venue. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory: it states both a Marist win and a Rider win resolve to Yes, which violates binary market semantics. Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution (team name outcome). These are fundamentally incompatible settlement frameworks.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether this is a data entry error. The market as stated is unresolvable. Polymarket's structure is sound and should be treated as the authoritative resolution method. Request Kalshi confirmation before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Resolves to Yes for both Marist win and Rider win outcomes. Logic: 'If Marist wins...resolves to Yes. If Rider wins...resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction in a binary market structure.Polymarket:
Resolves to categorical outcome: 'Marist Red Foxes' if Marist wins, 'Rider Broncs' if Rider wins. Includes postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Source: NCAA.com final score including overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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