TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the football match between Mansfield Town FC and Luton Town FC scheduled for April 18, 2026. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are being tracked: a Mansfield Town win, a draw, or a Luton Town win. Resolution is based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with postponements keeping markets open and cancellations resolving according to outcome-specific rules.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution logic: the market resolves based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the EFL (English Football League) as the governing body for EFL League One, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Mansfield Town win market resolves YES if and only if Mansfield Town FC wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Luton Town win market resolves YES if and only if Luton Town FC wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Draw market resolves YES if and only if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES; the other two resolve NO.
- Extra time and penalties are excluded from resolution scope.
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Mansfield and Luton win markets resolve NO, and the draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution occurs only after the completed match result is official.
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the Mansfield and Luton win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES.
- Resolution Source Timing: Primary resolution uses official EFL statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by the EFL or credible reporting consensus, within 2 hours after the 90-minute match plus stoppage time concludes.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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