TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of the Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC English Premier League match scheduled for April 19, 2026, resolved after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regulation play only). The market captures all three possible outcomes: a Manchester City victory, an Arsenal victory, or a draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket resolve based on the outcome of the Manchester City vs. Arsenal match on April 19, 2026, within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, using official Premier League statistics as the primary source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Premier League statistics and governing body recordsCore resolution logic:
- Market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Manchester City win, Arsenal win, or draw.
- Exactly one outcome will occur and resolve the corresponding market to YES; the other two resolve to NO.
- Resolution uses official Premier League data as primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus is used.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until the match is completed and resolved based on the rescheduled date's result.
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES while win markets resolve NO; Kalshi's structure implies all three outcomes cannot occur, making this a platform-specific edge case.
- Data Source Delay: If official Premier League statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution falls back to consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by the Premier League, or within 2 hours post-match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official data is delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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