A college basketball game between the Maine Black Bears and Albany Great Danes scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple levels (-5.5, -6.5), and over/under totals at multiple thresholds (130.5, 131.5, 132.5, 134.5, 135.5).
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Maine win and Albany win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent across all SKUs.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. Use Polymarket as your authoritative source for all Maine vs. Albany markets. Request clarification from Kalshi before settlement.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to winner name (Maine Black Bears or Albany Great Danes). Spreads resolve based on margin: Albany -6.5 requires 7+ point win; Albany -5.5 requires 6+ point win. Over/unders resolve to Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold (131, 132, 133, 135, or 136 depending on line). All markets: postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Source: NCAA.com.
Kalshi:
Market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If University at Albany wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Maine wins... resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction — a binary market cannot have both Yes outcomes.
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