TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NBA game between the Orlando Magic and Phoenix Suns scheduled for February 21, 2025 at 5:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spreads, totals, first-half props, and individual player performance metrics (points, rebounds, assists) across both full game and first-half periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both Orlando win and Phoenix win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and consistent.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The contradiction makes it impossible to determine the correct outcome. Polymarket offers clear, resolvable alternatives across all market types.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
All 86 markets use consistent binary logic: moneyline resolves to winning team name, spreads resolve based on margin thresholds, totals resolve based on combined score, player props resolve Yes/No based on stat thresholds. Resolution source is official NBA.com box score. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.Kalshi:
Market states: 'If Orlando wins the Orlando at Phoenix professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Phoenix wins the Orlando at Phoenix professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to Yes, creating logical impossibility.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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