TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Orlando Magic and Miami Heat scheduled for March 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spreads, totals, player props (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half derivatives across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets across both platforms use identical resolution logic: official NBA.com box score, inclusion of overtime, 50-50 on cancellation with no make-up, and consistent threshold definitions for spreads and totals.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NBA box score published on NBA.comCore resolution logic:
- Moneyline (Magic vs. Heat): Resolves to the team with the higher final score including all overtime periods.
- Spreads (Heat -3.5, -2.5, -4.5): Heat wins if final margin meets or exceeds the stated threshold (e.g., -3.5 requires 4+ point win); otherwise Magic wins. Ties resolve to Magic.
- Totals (O/U 234.5, 235.5, 236.5, 237.5): Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold plus one (e.g., 235+ for 234.5 line); Under otherwise.
- Player Props (Points, Rebounds, Assists): Resolves Yes if player exceeds stated threshold (e.g., >24.5 points); No if at or below threshold or if player is inactive/does not play.
- First-Half Markets (1H Spread, 1H O/U, 1H Moneyline): Resolved on halftime score only; same threshold logic as full-game equivalents.
- Postponement: Markets remain open until game completion.
- Cancellation (no make-up game): All markets resolve 50-50.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Overtime Inclusion: All scoring in overtime periods is included in final resolution. Player props explicitly state entire game including overtime is considered.
- Tied Score at Halftime: First-half moneyline resolves 50-50 if teams are tied at halftime.
- Tied Final Score: Full-game moneyline resolves 50-50 if final score is tied. Spread markets resolve to Magic if game ends in a tie.
- Player Inactivity: All player prop markets resolve No if the player is listed as inactive or does not take the court at any point during the game.
- Game Cancellation: If game is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 across both platforms.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after final score is official on NBA.com following game completion (including any overtime). First-half markets resolve at halftime. Postponed games remain open until played. Cancellations with no make-up trigger 50-50 resolution immediately.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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