TOTAL VOLUME:

$61.9b

24H VOL:

$277,664,645

24H TRANSACTIONS:

600,114,870

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,379,707,856

581,715

Markets across

14,439

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,118

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

50%

VS.

Kalshi:

50%

BETA
kalshi
polymarket
Trending
Sports

Magic vs. Celtics? Odds & Prediction Markets

Volume:
$27,018,054
PredictionHero
Magic vs. Celtics 0%
polymarket
Boston 100%
kalshi
O/U 216.5 100%
polymarket
Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Jun…020406080100

Closed: Apr 12, 9:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 12 at 6:00PM ET: If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi's moneyline market resolves YES for ANY outcome (Magic win OR Celtics win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures outcome-specific markets (Magic vs. Celtics moneyline, spreads, totals) with mutually exclusive resolutions.

Hero Tip:

Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market entirely — it is logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of game outcome. Trade only Polymarket's outcome-specific markets, which have proper mutually exclusive resolution paths.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi:

    Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (questions 1-2) states 'If Boston wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Orlando wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' guaranteeing a YES resolution for every possible outcome. This creates an unresolvable logical contradiction. The market has no NO outcome path.

  • Polymarket:

    Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Polymarket structures the event as mutually exclusive outcome markets. The moneyline resolves to 'Magic' if Magic win or 'Celtics' if Celtics win (questions 3-4). Spreads, totals, and player props all follow standard conditional resolution: 'This market will resolve to [Outcome A] if [condition met]. Otherwise, this market will resolve to [Outcome B].' Every market has exactly two possible outcomes with clear, non-overlapping resolution criteria.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.