TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Closed: Mar 24, 11:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the NBA game between the Magic and Cavaliers scheduled for March 24, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET. The winner is determined by the final score including any overtime periods, with the market resolving to either 'Magic' or 'Cavaliers' accordingly.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive market definitions with explicit resolution thresholds, sources, and edge-case handling (postponement, cancellation), while Kalshi's single market is logically incomplete and unresolvable—it states 'If Orlando wins... then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Cleveland wins... then resolves to Yes', creating a logical contradiction where both outcomes resolve to Yes with no No resolution path defined.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market as written. The market contains a fatal logical error: both possible outcomes (Orlando win or Cleveland win) are mapped to Yes, leaving no valid resolution path for No. This violates basic market logic and makes the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are fully specified and tradeable. Clarify with Kalshi whether this is a data entry error before placing any bets.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier (fully functional): Polymarket provides 44 distinct, logically coherent markets across moneyline, spreads, over/unders, and player props. Each market specifies explicit thresholds (e.g., 'Cavaliers win by 11 or more points'), resolution sources ('official NBA box score as published on NBA.com'), and comprehensive edge-case handling ('If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50'). All markets are resolvable and tradeable.Kalshi:
Outlier (logically broken): Kalshi presents a single market with a fatal logical contradiction. The market states 'If Orlando wins the Orlando at Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Cleveland wins the Orlando at Cleveland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' Both possible outcomes map to Yes; no resolution path to No is defined. This violates fundamental market logic and renders the market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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