TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for April 16 at 2:05PM ET: If the Maccabi Tel Aviv win, the market will resolve to "Maccabi Tel Aviv". If the Virtus Bologna win, the market will resolve to "Virtus Bologna". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both outcomes (Maccabi Tel Aviv wins OR Virtus Bologna wins) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken—both teams winning cannot both resolve to Yes in a binary event. Polymarket is the only reliable market for this matchup.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clear binary logic: Maccabi Tel Aviv win resolves to 'Maccabi Tel Aviv', Virtus Bologna win resolves to 'Virtus Bologna'. Includes postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) clauses. Quote: 'If the Maccabi Tel Aviv win, the market will resolve to Maccabi Tel Aviv. If the Virtus Bologna win, the market will resolve to Virtus Bologna.'Kalshi:
Logical contradiction: states 'If Maccabi Tel-Aviv wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Virtus Bologna wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both resolve Yes in a binary market. Quote: 'If Maccabi Tel-Aviv wins...resolves to Yes. If Virtus Bologna wins...resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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