TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the men's college basketball game between Loyola Chicago Ramblers and Saint Louis Billikens scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET at Saint Louis. Markets track the moneyline winner, various point spread outcomes, and total points scored across multiple prediction platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Loyola Chicago win and Saint Louis win) are defined to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary winner-take-all logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline contract in its current form - it is unresolvable. All other markets (Polymarket moneyline, spreads, and totals on both platforms) use consistent logic tied to final game score including overtime. Spreads uniformly resolve based on point differential thresholds, and totals uniformly resolve based on combined score thresholds.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline defined as: If Loyola Chicago wins, resolves Yes. If Saint Louis wins, resolves Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution state, leaving no valid resolution path for either outcome.Polymarket:
Moneyline uses standard binary logic: Loyola Chicago Ramblers win resolves to Loyola Chicago Ramblers; Saint Louis Billikens win resolves to Saint Louis Billikens. Cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Postponement keeps market open until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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