TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan Wolverines (W)
kalshi
polymarket

Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan Wolverines (W)

Volume:
$4,122,137

Michigan

 - Kalshi

Michigan - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 28, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Michigan

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,350,459
N/A
N/A
$1,283,396
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Louisville

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,748,867
N/A
N/A
$1,092,321
Settled
No
polymarket

Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan Wolverines (W)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,811
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This market resolves based on the outcome of the Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan Wolverines women's college basketball game scheduled for March 28, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. The winner of the game determines the market resolution, with the result based on the final score including any overtime periods.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi resolves to YES for both possible game outcomes (Louisville win OR Michigan win), creating a logical contradiction where the market cannot resolve to NO. Polymarket correctly resolves to either 'Louisville Cardinals' or 'Michigan Wolverines' based on the actual game result, with a 50-50 cancellation clause. These are fundamentally incompatible resolution frameworks.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market — it is logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of outcome. Trade only on Polymarket, which has coherent binary resolution (Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan Wolverines) and proper cancellation handling.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves to YES if Louisville wins OR if Michigan wins, meaning the market resolves YES in all realistic game outcomes. This creates a tautology with no NO resolution path. Key quote: 'If Louisville wins the Louisville at Michigan women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michigan wins the Louisville at Michigan women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Resolves to 'Louisville Cardinals' if Louisville wins or 'Michigan Wolverines' if Michigan wins, with a 50-50 cancellation clause if the game is canceled with no make-up. Key quote: 'If the Louisville Cardinals win, the market will resolve to Louisville Cardinals. If the Michigan Wolverines win, the market will resolve to Michigan Wolverines. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.