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Louisville Cardinals vs. Baylor Bears
kalshi
polymarket

Louisville Cardinals vs. Baylor Bears

Volume:
$1,913,862

Louisville

 - Kalshi

Louisville - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Louisville

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$1,093,632
$788,766
N/A
N/A
$502,588
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baylor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,092,256
$913,970
N/A
N/A
$570,811
Settled
No
polymarket

Louisville Cardinals vs. Baylor Bears

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$68,524
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Spread -6.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,449
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 162.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80,741
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

O/U 163.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,412
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the men's college basketball game between Louisville Cardinals and Baylor Bears scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET at Baylor. Markets track the moneyline winner, point spread (-6.5 Louisville), and two over/under totals (163.5 and 162.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: final score including overtime determines all outcomes, postponement keeps markets open, and cancellation without make-up triggers 50-50 resolution.Primary resolution logic: Official NCAA final game score as reported by ncaa.com

Core resolution logic:

  • Moneyline: Louisville Cardinals win resolves to Louisville; Baylor Bears win resolves to Baylor
  • Spread (-6.5 Louisville): Louisville wins by 7+ points resolves to Louisville; all other outcomes resolve to Baylor
  • Over/Under 163.5: Combined score 164+ resolves Over; 163 or less resolves Under
  • Over/Under 162.5: Combined score 163+ resolves Over; 162 or less resolves Under
  • Overtime periods are included in final score calculation
  • Postponement: All markets remain open until game completion
  • Cancellation with no make-up: All markets resolve 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Overtime: All scoring in overtime periods counts toward final score and spread/total calculations
  • Postponement: Markets do not resolve until the game is completed; no time limit specified for rescheduling
  • Cancellation: If game is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 split
  • Spread Push: If Louisville wins by exactly 6 points, spread market resolves to Baylor (threshold is 7+ points)
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after final game score is official, no later than game completion date of February 14, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.