This event group covers the men's college basketball game between Louisville Cardinals and Baylor Bears scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET at Baylor. Markets track the moneyline winner, point spread (-6.5 Louisville), and two over/under totals (163.5 and 162.5).
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: final score including overtime determines all outcomes, postponement keeps markets open, and cancellation without make-up triggers 50-50 resolution.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NCAA final game score as reported by ncaa.com
Core resolution logic:
Moneyline: Louisville Cardinals win resolves to Louisville; Baylor Bears win resolves to Baylor
Spread (-6.5 Louisville): Louisville wins by 7+ points resolves to Louisville; all other outcomes resolve to Baylor
Over/Under 163.5: Combined score 164+ resolves Over; 163 or less resolves Under
Over/Under 162.5: Combined score 163+ resolves Over; 162 or less resolves Under
Overtime periods are included in final score calculation
Postponement: All markets remain open until game completion
Cancellation with no make-up: All markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Overtime: All scoring in overtime periods counts toward final score and spread/total calculations
Postponement: Markets do not resolve until the game is completed; no time limit specified for rescheduling
Cancellation: If game is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 split
Spread Push: If Louisville wins by exactly 6 points, spread market resolves to Baylor (threshold is 7+ points)
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after final game score is official, no later than game completion date of February 14, 2026
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.