A college basketball game between Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks and Troy Trojans scheduled for February 27, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -18.5 and -19.5, and over/under totals at 153.5, 155.5, and 156.5 points.
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Troy win and Louisiana-Monroe win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure at the source level.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. Use Polymarket's moneyline as the authoritative resolution source. For all other markets (spreads and totals), resolution logic is unified across platforms: final score including overtime determines outcome, postponed games remain open until completion, and canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market specifies both Troy win and Louisiana-Monroe win resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Quote: 'If Troy wins...resolves to Yes. If Louisiana-Monroe wins...resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket:
Moneyline market resolves to either Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks or Troy Trojans based on actual game winner. Quote: 'If Louisiana-Monroe wins, resolves to Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks. If Troy wins, resolves to Troy Trojans.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.