This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks and South Alabama Jaguars scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), spread (-14.5 for South Alabama), and two over/under totals (154.5 and 153.5 points).
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (South Alabama win and Louisiana-Monroe win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline is logically sound and unambiguous.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline - it is logically broken. For winner determination, rely exclusively on Polymarket's moneyline which correctly maps each team's victory to their respective outcome. Spread and total markets on both platforms use consistent, resolvable logic based on final score.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market contains contradictory resolution logic: 'If South Alabama wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Louisiana-Monroe wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot resolve to the same result in a binary market. This makes the market logically impossible to settle.
Polymarket:
Moneyline market resolves to team name: 'Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks' if they win, 'South Alabama Jaguars' if they win. Only resolves 50-50 if game is canceled with no makeup. Logic is sound and unambiguous.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.