TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks and Old Dominion Monarchs scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and total combined points scored.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers granular outcome markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) while Kalshi's market structure is a simple game-occurrence binary (Yes if game completes with a winner, No otherwise). The markets measure fundamentally different propositions despite referencing the same underlying event.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi as a hedge on game completion/cancellation risk, not as a direct outcome predictor. Polymarket moneyline and Kalshi Yes are NOT equivalent—Kalshi pays Yes for either team winning. Use Kalshi to isolate cancellation/postponement risk; use Polymarket for directional outcome bets.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outcome-specific resolution: Moneyline resolves to winner name (Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks or Old Dominion Monarchs). Spread markets resolve based on margin thresholds (Old Dominion -10.5 = 11+ point win; -11.5 = 12+ point win). Over/Under markets resolve on combined score (159.5 threshold = 160+, 158.5 = 159+, 157.5 = 158+). All resolve 50-50 if game canceled with no makeup. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'Kalshi:
Binary game-occurrence resolution: Resolves to Yes if either Louisiana-Monroe or Old Dominion wins the game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026. No differentiation between outcomes; no spread or total markets provided. Key quote: 'If Old Dominion wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Louisiana-Monroe wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.