TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Longwood Lancers and UNC Asheville Bulldogs scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and total points scored.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market specification is logically incoherent: both a Longwood win and a UNC Asheville win resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable as a binary prediction instrument. Polymarket markets are well-formed with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken and will create settlement disputes. Stick to Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets, which have clear, mutually exclusive binary outcomes and consistent edge-case handling.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Five distinct, well-formed markets: (1) Moneyline—Longwood or UNC Asheville wins; (2) Longwood -1.5 spread—Longwood wins by 2+; (3) Over/Under 140.5—combined score 141+ or less; (4) UNC Asheville -1.5 spread—UNC Asheville wins by 2+; (5) Over/Under 139.5—combined score 140+ or less. All use final score including overtime. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Key quote: 'If the Longwood Lancers win, the market will resolve to Longwood Lancers. If the UNC Asheville Bulldogs win, the market will resolve to UNC Asheville Bulldogs.'Kalshi:
Single market with contradictory logic: 'If UNC Asheville wins... resolves to Yes. If Longwood wins... resolves to Yes.' Both possible outcomes map to the same resolution value, creating a logical impossibility. No clear No outcome is defined. Key quote: 'If UNC Asheville wins the Longwood at UNC Asheville men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Longwood wins the Longwood at UNC Asheville men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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