TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and KT Rolster in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for April 1 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against KT Rolster. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against T1. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution logic. Kalshi's two markets both resolve YES if either team wins the match (logical contradiction making them unresolvable), while Polymarket's 24 markets resolve based on specific in-game events (dragons, kills, inhibitors, etc.) with gol.gg as the primary source.Hero Tip:
Do not trade these markets. Kalshi's markets contain a logical error: both markets resolve YES regardless of outcome, making them unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are resolvable but require Game 1, Game 2, and/or Game 3 to be completed. If the series ends before all games are played (e.g., 2-0), Polymarket markets for unplayed games will resolve 50-50.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Both Kalshi markets (KT Rolster wins LCK 2026 and T1 wins LCK 2026) resolve YES if the same match occurs, creating a logical contradiction. The first market states 'If KT Rolster wins the LCK 2026: KT Rolster vs. T1 League of Legends match originally scheduled for Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' The second states 'If T1 wins the LCK 2026: KT Rolster vs. T1 League of Legends match originally scheduled for Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means both markets resolve YES for any match outcome, making them unresolvable.Polymarket:
Aligned with itself (distinct from Kalshi): All 24 Polymarket markets resolve based on specific in-game statistics and events (dragon slays, inhibitor destruction, kill counts, penta/quadra kills, first blood, baron kills) tracked via gol.gg/esports/home. Each market has conditional 50-50 resolution if the relevant game is not played, forfeited, or delayed beyond 7 days. For example, 'Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?' resolves YES only if both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1, with 50-50 fallback if Game 1 never occurs.
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