TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between T1 Academy and Nongshim Esports Academy in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for April 7 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1 Academy" if T1 Academy win the match against Nongshim Esports Academy. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Esports Academy" if Nongshim Esports Academy win the match against T1 Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution frameworks. Kalshi's markets (items 1-2) resolve on the outcome of a single match scheduled for April 7, 2026, treating any winner as YES. Polymarket's markets (items 3-47) resolve on detailed in-game statistics (kills, objectives, multi-kills) across potentially three games, with entirely different resolution sources and 50-50 fallback conditions. The two platforms are resolving different events: Kalshi resolves a binary match winner, while Polymarket resolves granular game-level mechanics and series structure.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge between Kalshi and Polymarket on this event group. Kalshi's YES resolves if either team wins the match (guaranteed outcome if match plays). Polymarket's markets require specific in-game conditions that may never occur, resolve 50-50 if games are not played, and depend on gol.gg data availability within 2 hours. A Kalshi YES does not imply any Polymarket market outcome. Treat these as separate, non-correlated events.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's two markets (items 1-2) are binary match-winner markets that both resolve YES if either T1 Academy or Nongshim Esports Academy wins the April 7, 2026 match. Resolution is guaranteed if the match is played at all. No reference to in-game statistics, game counts, or gol.gg data. Quote: 'If T1 Academy wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Nongshim Esports Academy wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket's 45 markets (items 3-47) resolve on specific in-game mechanics (kills, objectives, multi-kills), game-level winners, series structure (games total), and match winner, each with independent resolution logic tied to gol.gg data. Most markets resolve 50-50 if the relevant game is not played, forfeited, or if data is unavailable within 2 hours. Quote: 'This market will resolve to 50-50' appears in 30+ market descriptions; 'The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home' is the standard source clause.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.