TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a League of Legends Best-of-One match between ROSSMANN Centaurs and BIG in the Prime League 1st Division Regular Season, scheduled for April 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT. Markets span match outcome, objective control (Baron, Dragon, Inhibitors), kill statistics (total kills parity, multi-kills), and player highlights (Quadra/Penta Kills) during Game 1.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on the match winner (either team winning resolves to Yes), while Polymarket resolves on specific in-game metrics (Baron kills, Dragon kills, Inhibitors, Kill parity, Quadra/Penta kills) and a separate match-winner market. The Kalshi market logic is logically incoherent—both outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across these platforms assuming equivalent exposure. Kalshi's market is unresolvable as written (both teams winning cannot both trigger Yes). Polymarket offers six distinct, resolvable markets tied to verifiable in-game statistics and match outcome. If you hold Kalshi, seek clarification from the platform before settlement; Polymarket markets are operationally sound.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction. Both conditions state 'the market resolves to Yes'—one if ROSSMANN Centaurs wins, one if BIG wins. Since exactly one team must win, both cannot resolve Yes, making the market incoherent. Quote: 'If ROSSMANN Centaurs wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Berlin International Gaming wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket offers six separate, logically coherent markets: (1) Match winner (ROSSMANN Centaurs vs BIG), (2) Both teams slay Baron Nashor in Game 1, (3) Both teams slay a Dragon in Game 1, (4) Odd/Even total kills in Game 1, (5) Both teams destroy inhibitors in Game 1, (6) Any player achieves Quadra/Penta kill in Game 1. Each resolves on verifiable in-game statistics from gol.gg with explicit 50-50 fallback rules for cancellation, forfeit, or delay beyond 7 days. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if both ROSSMANN Centaurs and BIG each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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