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LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
kalshi
polymarket

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Volume:
$2,670,482

Game 2 Winner

 - Polymarket

Game 2 Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 15, 2026

Closed: Apr 15, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$924,879
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$924,825
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNK FEARX

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$123,250
N/A
N/A
$88,689
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$464,247
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nongshim Red Force

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$80,864
N/A
N/A
$49,753
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$64,225
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$54,971
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,254
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,809
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,554
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$617
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 37.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 34.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,893
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,778
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

First Blood in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$215
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 74

Description

This event group covers a Best-of-3 League of Legends match between Nongshim Red Force and BNK FEARX scheduled for April 15, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT as part of the LCK 2026 season (Rounds 1-2). The match outcome will determine which team advances or secures points in the league standings.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's two markets both resolve YES for any match outcome (either team winning), creating a logical contradiction that makes them fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets have coherent, mutually exclusive resolution logic tied to specific game outcomes and match statistics.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi's match-winner markets entirely — they are logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of outcome. Trade only Polymarket's game-specific and statistical markets, which have clear, testable resolution criteria.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Both Kalshi markets (questions 1–2) contain identical resolution language stating 'If [Team A] wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If [Team B] wins... then the market resolves to Yes', guaranteeing YES for every possible outcome. This is a logical contradiction that violates basic market design. Key quote: 'If Nongshim Red Force wins the LCK 2026: BNK FEARX vs. Nongshim Red Force League of Legends match... then the market resolves to Yes. If BNK FEARX wins the LCK 2026: BNK FEARX vs. Nongshim Red Force League of Legends match... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design principles: All 44 Polymarket markets have mutually exclusive, testable resolution criteria. Match-winner markets (questions 24, 26, 44) resolve to one team or 50-50 based on game completion. Game-specific markets (questions 4–23, 30–43, 46–145) resolve YES/NO or Over/Under based on measurable in-game statistics (kills, dragons, barons, inhibitors, multikills, first blood) or match structure (games played). Key quote from match-winner market: 'This market will resolve to Nongshim Red Force if Nongshim Red Force win the match against BNK FEARX. This market will resolve to BNK FEARX if BNK FEARX win the match against BNK FEARX.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.