TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Best-of-3 League of Legends match between Nongshim Red Force and BNK FEARX scheduled for April 15, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT as part of the LCK 2026 season (Rounds 1-2). The match outcome will determine which team advances or secures points in the league standings.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's two markets both resolve YES for any match outcome (either team winning), creating a logical contradiction that makes them fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets have coherent, mutually exclusive resolution logic tied to specific game outcomes and match statistics.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's match-winner markets entirely — they are logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of outcome. Trade only Polymarket's game-specific and statistical markets, which have clear, testable resolution criteria.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Both Kalshi markets (questions 1–2) contain identical resolution language stating 'If [Team A] wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If [Team B] wins... then the market resolves to Yes', guaranteeing YES for every possible outcome. This is a logical contradiction that violates basic market design. Key quote: 'If Nongshim Red Force wins the LCK 2026: BNK FEARX vs. Nongshim Red Force League of Legends match... then the market resolves to Yes. If BNK FEARX wins the LCK 2026: BNK FEARX vs. Nongshim Red Force League of Legends match... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Aligned with sound market design principles: All 44 Polymarket markets have mutually exclusive, testable resolution criteria. Match-winner markets (questions 24, 26, 44) resolve to one team or 50-50 based on game completion. Game-specific markets (questions 4–23, 30–43, 46–145) resolve YES/NO or Over/Under based on measurable in-game statistics (kills, dragons, barons, inhibitors, multikills, first blood) or match structure (games played). Key quote from match-winner market: 'This market will resolve to Nongshim Red Force if Nongshim Red Force win the match against BNK FEARX. This market will resolve to BNK FEARX if BNK FEARX win the match against BNK FEARX.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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