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406,065

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LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
polymarket
kalshi

LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B

Volume:
$472,931

JD Gaming

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 24, 2026

Closed: Mar 20, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

JD Gaming

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$154,927
N/A
N/A
$116,438
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,920
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 4?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$881
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 4?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$323
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$74
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

LYON

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$312,520
N/A
N/A
$245,780
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,066
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$850
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 4?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 5?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

First Blood in Game 4?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 5?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 122

Description

This market refers to the LoL Decider match between LYON and JD Gaming in the First Stand Group B, initially scheduled for March 20 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against LYON. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines a comprehensive BO5 match with detailed game-level and series-level resolution criteria across 240+ markets, while Kalshi provides only a binary yes/no market on match outcome with no game-level detail. Polymarket's markets are resolvable; Kalshi's market is logically contradictory and unresolvable.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's market. It resolves YES if either team wins, making every outcome resolve YES — a logical impossibility. All Polymarket markets are resolvable and use consistent gol.gg source with clear thresholds. Trade Polymarket only.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Aligned with itself across 240+ markets: Polymarket uses official gol.gg as primary source, with consensus reporting fallback within 2 hours post-event. Each market has a specific, unambiguous threshold (e.g., 'Over 25.5 kills' = 26+, 'Under' = 25 or fewer). Series winner resolves YES/NO based on which team wins the BO5. Game-level markets resolve based on completed games or 50-50 if not played. All markets are logically consistent and resolvable. Key quote: 'The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's single binary market states 'If JD Gaming wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If LYON wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (JD Gaming win OR LYON win) resolve to YES, making the market unresolvable. No threshold, no game-level detail, no tie-breaking logic. Key quote: 'If JD Gaming wins the First Stand 2026: JD Gaming vs. LYON League of Legends match originally scheduled for Mar 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If LYON wins the First Stand 2026: JD Gaming vs. LYON League of Legends match originally scheduled for Mar 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.