TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the LoL Decider match between LYON and JD Gaming in the First Stand Group B, initially scheduled for March 20 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against LYON. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines a comprehensive BO5 match with detailed game-level and series-level resolution criteria across 240+ markets, while Kalshi provides only a binary yes/no market on match outcome with no game-level detail. Polymarket's markets are resolvable; Kalshi's market is logically contradictory and unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market. It resolves YES if either team wins, making every outcome resolve YES — a logical impossibility. All Polymarket markets are resolvable and use consistent gol.gg source with clear thresholds. Trade Polymarket only.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Aligned with itself across 240+ markets: Polymarket uses official gol.gg as primary source, with consensus reporting fallback within 2 hours post-event. Each market has a specific, unambiguous threshold (e.g., 'Over 25.5 kills' = 26+, 'Under' = 25 or fewer). Series winner resolves YES/NO based on which team wins the BO5. Game-level markets resolve based on completed games or 50-50 if not played. All markets are logically consistent and resolvable. Key quote: 'The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.'Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's single binary market states 'If JD Gaming wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If LYON wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (JD Gaming win OR LYON win) resolve to YES, making the market unresolvable. No threshold, no game-level detail, no tie-breaking logic. Key quote: 'If JD Gaming wins the First Stand 2026: JD Gaming vs. LYON League of Legends match originally scheduled for Mar 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If LYON wins the First Stand 2026: JD Gaming vs. LYON League of Legends match originally scheduled for Mar 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
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