TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas and 7REX in the Circuito Desafiante Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 8 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas" if KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas win the match against 7REX. This market will resolve to "7REX" if 7REX win the match against KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines a complete set of 6 distinct markets with detailed resolution criteria for Game 1 events and match winner, while Kalshi provides only a single market that resolves YES if either team wins the match, creating a logical contradiction and fundamental scope mismatch. Polymarket's markets are resolvable; Kalshi's market is logically impossible to resolve to NO.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market as written. The Kalshi market states it resolves YES if 7REX wins OR if KaBuM! wins, which means it resolves YES in all possible outcomes (excluding only cancellation/delay). This is a critical data integrity failure. Polymarket's 6 markets are independently resolvable based on specific in-game events and match outcome. Traders should treat Kalshi's offering as broken and seek clarification before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket provides 6 independent markets covering Game 1 in-game events (Odd/Even Kills, Both Teams Slay Baron, Both Teams Slay Dragon, Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors, Any Quadra Kill, Any Penta Kill) plus a match winner market. Each resolves based on specific objective criteria verified via gol.gg or credible video evidence. All markets include 50-50 resolution for cancellation, delay beyond 7 days, forfeit, or series-clinch scenarios. Example: 'This market will resolve to Yes if both KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas and 7REX each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1.'Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi offers a single market with contradictory resolution logic. The market states 'If 7REX wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility: the market resolves YES in all non-cancellation scenarios, leaving no outcome path to NO resolution. No edge cases, cancellation clauses, or tie-breaking logic are provided. The market is fundamentally unresolvable as written.
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