TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of a single League of Legends Best-of-One match between Joblife and Karmine Corp Blue scheduled for April 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT in the LFL (Ligue Française de League) Regular Season. The market will resolve to Yes if either team wins the match, creating a binary outcome tied directly to the in-game result.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on the outcome of a single match (Joblife vs Karmine Corp Blue), while Polymarket resolves on six distinct in-game metrics (Baron kills, Dragon kills, Inhibitor destruction, Quadra Kill, Penta Kill, and total Kill parity) that require the match to be played and completed. Kalshi's binary match-outcome logic is incompatible with Polymarket's granular game-state conditions.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on match winner only. If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on specific in-game events that may or may not occur during Game 1. A Kalshi YES (either team wins) does not guarantee any Polymarket outcome. Conversely, a Polymarket YES on 'Both Teams Slay Baron' requires the match to complete with both conditions met — a Kalshi YES alone does not satisfy this. Do not assume cross-platform hedging works here.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves on binary match outcome only — YES if either Joblife or Karmine Corp Blue wins the scheduled April 9, 2026 match; NO otherwise. The market does not condition on any in-game events or metrics. Key quote: 'If Karmine Corp Blue wins the LFL 2026: Karmine Corp Blue vs. Joblife League of Legends match... then the market resolves to Yes. If Joblife wins the LFL 2026: Karmine Corp Blue vs. Joblife League of Legends match... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves on six separate in-game metrics during Game 1 only: (1) Both teams slay Baron Nashor at least once; (2) Both teams slay at least one elemental dragon; (3) Both teams destroy at least one inhibitor; (4) Any player achieves a Quadra Kill; (5) Any player achieves a Penta Kill; (6) Total combined kills is odd or even. Each market independently resolves YES/NO based on whether the specified condition is met during Game 1 play. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if both Joblife and Karmine Corp Blue each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. This market will resolve to No if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 1.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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