TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Hanwha Life Esports and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for April 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win the match against HANJIN BRION. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against Hanwha Life Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events: Kalshi settles on whether over 2.5 maps are played in the match (a series-level metric), while Polymarket offers 16 individual game-level markets (Game 1/2/3 outcomes, kills, objectives, etc.). These are distinct event scopes with no direct logical overlap.Hero Tip:
Kalshi bettors are wagering on series length (3+ games = YES), while Polymarket bettors are wagering on specific in-game events. A Kalshi YES (3-game series) does not determine any individual Polymarket market outcome. Treat these as separate betting universes with independent resolution paths.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves on a single series-level metric: whether over 2.5 maps (games) are played. The market resolves YES if the match goes to 3 or more games, NO if it ends 2-0. Source is official LCK records. No game-specific outcomes are evaluated.Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 16 granular game-level markets covering Game 1, Game 2, and Game 3 individually, including match winner, game winners, kills, objectives (dragons, barons, inhibitors), penta/quadra kills, first blood, and kill totals. Each market resolves independently based on in-game statistics from gol.gg/esports/home. Series length is not directly evaluated in any single market; instead, game-level outcomes determine whether later games are played (50-50 resolution if not played).
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