TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a League of Legends Best-of-1 match between GMBLERS ESPORTS and StoneHenge Esports in the LIT Regular Season scheduled for April 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. Markets span match winner determination and in-game statistics for Game 1, including objective control (dragons, Baron), structural destruction (inhibitors), kill metrics, and rare multi-kill achievements.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's match winner market contains a logical contradiction where both possible match outcomes (StoneHenge win and GMBLERS win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's equivalent market correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi match winner market. Use Polymarket Question 6 as the authoritative match winner resolution. All in-game statistics markets (dragons, inhibitors, Baron, kills, multi-kills) are logically sound and unified across both platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Match winner market states: 'If StoneHenge Esports wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If GMBLERS ESPORTS wins... resolves to Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes trigger identical resolution, creating logical impossibility.Polymarket:
Match winner market (Question 6) correctly specifies: resolves to 'GMBLERS ESPORTS' if GMBLERS wins, 'StoneHenge Esports' if StoneHenge wins, with 50-50 for cancellation/delay/forfeit/tie. Logically coherent and mutually exclusive.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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