TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between FURIA Esports and LOUD in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 26 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against LOUD. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against FURIA Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's single binary market contains a logical contradiction: both FURIA Esports and LOUD winning are mapped to the same 'Yes' outcome, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides a coherent 24-market suite with explicit edge-case handling; Kalshi provides no edge-case logic and no resolution source.Hero Tip:
Polymarket is the only resolvable framework. Kalshi's market is broken and should not be traded until corrected. If forced to settle Kalshi, escalate to compliance—the market violates basic logical consistency (mutually exclusive outcomes must map to different resolution states).Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
24 distinct markets covering series winner, individual game winners (G1, G2), game totals (O/U 2.5), handicap spreads, and game-level objectives (dragons, barons, inhibitors, kills, penta/quadra kills, first blood). Each market specifies: (1) completion criteria, (2) 50-50 fallback for cancellation/delay >7 days/forfeit/incomplete play, (3) primary source (gol.gg) with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Example: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'Kalshi:
Single binary market with contradictory logic: 'If FURIA Esports wins... Yes. If LOUD wins... Yes.' Both outcomes map to the same resolution state, creating logical impossibility. No edge-case handling, no cancellation clause, no source specification, no timing detail. Unresolvable as written.
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