TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket round 1 match between French Flair and G2 NORD in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for March 23 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "French Flair" if French Flair win the match against G2 NORD. This market will resolve to "G2 NORD" if G2 NORD win the match against French Flair. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution scopes. Kalshi resolves based on the outcome of the EMEA Masters 2026 tournament (winner-take-all), while Polymarket resolves based on specific in-game events within individual games of the French Flair vs G2 NORD match. These are logically independent: Kalshi's markets collapse to a single YES outcome regardless of match result, whereas Polymarket's markets depend on match completion and specific game-state conditions.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge Kalshi and Polymarket markets in this group. Kalshi's two markets are redundant (both resolve YES if either team wins EMEA Masters 2026, making them mutually exclusive and exhaustive). Polymarket's markets require the match to actually be played and completed; if the match is canceled, forfeited, or delayed >7 days, most Polymarket markets resolve 50-50 while Kalshi markets remain unaffected. Treat these as two separate event universes.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi's two markets (items 1-2) both resolve YES if either French Flair OR G2 NORD wins the EMEA Masters 2026 tournament, regardless of the specific match outcome on March 23. This makes both Kalshi markets logically identical and mutually exclusive with each other. Resolution depends on tournament-level outcome, not match-level play. Key quote: 'If G2 NORD wins the EMEA Masters 2026: G2 NORD vs. French Flair League of Legends match... then the market resolves to Yes. If French Flair wins the EMEA Masters 2026: G2 NORD vs. French Flair League of Legends match... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket's 24 markets (items 3-51) all resolve based on actual match play, game-state events (first blood, baron/dragon kills, inhibitor destruction, multi-kills, kill parity), or match structure (game winners, total games, game handicap). Each market requires the match to be played; if canceled, forfeited, or delayed >7 days, resolution defaults to 50-50. Resolution source is gol.gg or credible video evidence. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
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