TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Closed: Apr 2, 8:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for April 2 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against Nongshim Red Force. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win the match against Dplus KIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution scopes. Kalshi resolves based on the LCK 2026 season outcome (any match between these teams), while Polymarket resolves on specific individual games and match-level outcomes scheduled for April 2, 2026. This creates logical contradictions: a Kalshi market could resolve YES even if the April 2 match never occurs, and Polymarket game-specific markets cannot resolve if the match is canceled.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge between Kalshi and Polymarket markets in this group. Kalshi's season-level resolution means it may settle differently than Polymarket's match-specific markets even if the April 2 match occurs. If you bet YES on Kalshi, you win if either team wins any LCK 2026 match; if you bet on Polymarket Game 1 Winner, you only win if that specific game is played and completed.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's two markets (items 1–2) resolve based on the outcome of the LCK 2026 season match between these teams, with no specific date or game requirement. Both markets resolve YES if either team wins the match at any point in the season, creating a logical impossibility (both cannot be true simultaneously). Key quote: 'If Nongshim Red Force wins the LCK 2026: Nongshim Red Force vs. Dplus KIA League of Legends match... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Dplus KIA wins the LCK 2026: Nongshim Red Force vs. Dplus KIA League of Legends match... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Aligned with itself (sole platform with match-specific resolution): Polymarket resolves all 69 markets based on the specific match scheduled for April 2, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET, with detailed game-by-game and objective-level outcomes. Markets resolve to 50-50 if the match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, or specific games are not played. Key quote: 'This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for April 2 at 4:00AM ET' and 'If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.'
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