TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market group covers a single League of Legends Best-of-1 match between Deer Gaming and Lundqvist Lightside in the NLC Regular Season, scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The outcome is determined by which team wins the match, with specific rules for cancellations, ties, forfeits, and delays.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is fundamentally broken: both possible outcomes (Lundqvist Lightside wins NLC 2026 OR Deer Gaming wins NLC 2026) resolve to Yes, creating a non-binary market. Additionally, Kalshi references tournament-level results rather than the specific match outcome. Polymarket correctly defines binary match-level resolution with explicit edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
Polymarket's resolution framework is sound and match-focused. Kalshi's market is logically unresolvable as written because it guarantees a Yes outcome regardless of match result. Avoid Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution criteria to reference the specific match outcome, not the full season tournament.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
References NLC 2026 tournament victory (season-long result) rather than the specific Feb 25 match. Both Lundqvist Lightside winning NLC 2026 AND Deer Gaming winning NLC 2026 resolve to Yes, eliminating the binary structure. No explicit No resolution path exists. Quote: 'If Lundqvist Lightside wins the NLC 2026... then the market resolves to Yes. If Deer Gaming wins the NLC 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Correctly defines binary match-level resolution: Deer Gaming win = Deer Gaming, Lundqvist Lightside win = Lundqvist Lightside. Explicit edge cases: cancellation/tie/7+ day delay = 50-50; mid-match forfeit/disqualification = winning team; pre-match forfeit/walkout = 50-50. Primary source: gol.gg with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Deer Gaming if Deer Gaming win the match against Lundqvist Lightside.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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