TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and Team WE in the Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2, initially scheduled for March 31 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Team WE. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against Bilibili Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution frameworks. Kalshi resolves on Map 1 outcomes only (binary: either team wins Map 1), while Polymarket resolves on game-level statistics (kills, Baron, dragons, inhibitors, multi-kills) and series outcomes. These are entirely different event types with no logical overlap.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-trade between Kalshi and Polymarket markets in this group. Kalshi's Map 1 winner market is independent of all Polymarket game-stat and series markets. A Kalshi YES resolution tells you nothing about Polymarket Game 1/2/3 outcomes or the series winner. Treat them as separate event universes.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi offers only two markets, both resolving on Map 1 outcome. Market 1 resolves YES if Bilibili Gaming wins Map 1; Market 2 resolves YES if Team WE wins Map 1. These are mutually exclusive binary outcomes with no connection to series result, game statistics, or any other Polymarket market. Key quote: 'If Bilibili Gaming wins map 1 in the Esports World Cup China Qualifier 2026: Team WE vs. Bilibili Gaming League of Legends match originally scheduled for Mar 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 126 markets spanning series winner, individual game winners, game-level statistics (kills, Baron, dragons, inhibitors, multi-kills, first blood), series handicap, and games-total over/under. All markets resolve on official gol.gg data or credible reporting consensus. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Bilibili Gaming and Team WE each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1' (example from Baron market); series winner resolves to 'Bilibili Gaming' if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Team WE.
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