TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 2 match between Bilibili Gaming and JD Gaming in the First Stand Playoffs, initially scheduled for March 21 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Bilibili Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution scopes and sources. Kalshi resolves on binary match outcomes (winner determination only), while Polymarket markets resolve on specific in-game statistics (kill counts, objective control) with detailed game-level granularity and conditional 50-50 resolution rules that Kalshi does not address.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on match winner/series outcome only. If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on granular game statistics (kills per game, Baron/Dragon control, First Blood, Penta Kills, etc.). These are entirely different markets with different resolution sources and triggers. A Kalshi YES (BLG wins series) does NOT correlate 1:1 with any single Polymarket market — Polymarket markets can resolve 50-50 even if the series completes, depending on whether specific games are played or completed.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi offers only three binary markets: (1) match winner (BLG vs JD), (2) series handicap BLG -2.5, and (3) series handicap BLG -1.5. All resolve based on official gol.gg match results and final series outcome. No game-level statistics, no conditional 50-50 rules for incomplete games. Quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 167 markets spanning match winner, series totals, game-by-game winners, and granular in-game statistics (kill counts at multiple thresholds, First Blood, Baron/Dragon control, Penta/Quadra Kills, Inhibitor destruction, Odd/Even kills). Each game-level market has conditional 50-50 resolution if that specific game is not played, incomplete, forfeited, or remade. Quote: 'If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
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