TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the League of Legends Best-of-One match between Aeterna Esports and TITANS in the LIT Regular Season, scheduled for April 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. Markets span match outcome, in-game statistics (kills, dragons, barons, inhibitors), and rare play events (quadra/penta kills), all resolving based on official gol.gg data or credible consensus reporting.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for ANY outcome (both teams winning), creating a logical contradiction. Polymarket markets are outcome-specific and resolvable. Kalshi's match winner market is fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi match winner market entirely — it will resolve YES regardless of who wins, making it a guaranteed payout with no discriminatory power. Focus on Polymarket's objective game metrics (kills, dragons, barons, inhibitors, multikills) which have clear, measurable resolution criteria.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
The match winner market contains a logical contradiction. Both resolution conditions state 'then the market resolves to Yes': (1) 'If Aeterna Esports wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND (2) 'If TITANS wins... then the market resolves to Yes'. This means the market resolves YES for all possible outcomes, rendering it unresolvable and economically meaningless. Quote: 'If Aeterna Esports wins the LIT 2026... match... then the market resolves to Yes. If TITANS wins the LIT 2026... match... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
All markets are outcome-specific with clear binary or categorical resolution criteria tied to measurable in-game events: total kills parity (Odd/Even), dual dragon slays (Yes/No), dual baron slays (Yes/No), dual inhibitor destruction (Yes/No), quadra kill occurrence (Yes/No), penta kill occurrence (Yes/No). Each has explicit fallback rules for cancellation, delay, forfeit, and remake scenarios. All reference gol.gg as primary source with 2-hour credible reporting fallback. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Odd if the total combined kills by both teams in Game 1 is an odd number. This market will resolve to Even if the total combined kills by both teams in Game 1 is an even number.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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