TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Liverpool FC and Paris Saint-Germain FC are scheduled to compete in a Champions League match on April 14, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. This is a standard three-way soccer outcome market covering all possible regulation-time results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for any outcome (Liverpool win, PSG win, or draw), while Polymarket uses three separate binary markets that each resolve YES or NO based on specific outcomes. This creates fundamentally different settlement structures: Kalshi's market will always resolve YES, whereas Polymarket's three markets will resolve to exactly one YES and two NOs.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, understand that this market always resolves YES regardless of the match result — it is not a predictive market on the outcome itself. On Polymarket, you are betting on specific outcomes (Liverpool win, draw, or PSG win), where exactly one will resolve YES. Do not treat Kalshi's YES resolution as confirmation of any particular match outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's three conditions all resolve to YES — 'If Liverpool wins...then the market resolves to Yes', 'If PSG wins...then the market resolves to Yes', 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes'. This structure guarantees a YES resolution regardless of match outcome, making it a tautological market rather than a predictive one on the actual result.Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket operates three separate binary markets (Liverpool win YES/NO, draw YES/NO, PSG win YES/NO) where exactly one resolves YES and two resolve NO based on the actual 90-minute match outcome. Each market independently resolves based on whether its specific condition occurred, with UEFA.com as the primary resolution source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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