TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.9b

24H VOL:

$98,273,025

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,660,434,525

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,605,299,299

484,869

Markets across

36,635

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,879

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC
kalshi
polymarket

Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC

Volume:
$22,284,112

PSG

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 15, 2026

Closed: Apr 14, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

PSG

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,868,604
N/A
N/A
$3,502,371
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Paris Saint-Germain FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,455,968
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Liverpool FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,349,911
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Liverpool

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,497,316
N/A
N/A
$746,383
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,414,775
N/A
N/A
$1,012,738
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$697,538
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

Liverpool FC and Paris Saint-Germain FC are scheduled to compete in a Champions League match on April 14, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. This is a standard three-way soccer outcome market covering all possible regulation-time results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi resolves YES for any outcome (Liverpool win, PSG win, or draw), while Polymarket uses three separate binary markets that each resolve YES or NO based on specific outcomes. This creates fundamentally different settlement structures: Kalshi's market will always resolve YES, whereas Polymarket's three markets will resolve to exactly one YES and two NOs.Hero tip: If you trade on Kalshi, understand that this market always resolves YES regardless of the match result — it is not a predictive market on the outcome itself. On Polymarket, you are betting on specific outcomes (Liverpool win, draw, or PSG win), where exactly one will resolve YES. Do not treat Kalshi's YES resolution as confirmation of any particular match outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's three conditions all resolve to YES — 'If Liverpool wins...then the market resolves to Yes', 'If PSG wins...then the market resolves to Yes', 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes'. This structure guarantees a YES resolution regardless of match outcome, making it a tautological market rather than a predictive one on the actual result.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket operates three separate binary markets (Liverpool win YES/NO, draw YES/NO, PSG win YES/NO) where exactly one resolves YES and two resolve NO based on the actual 90-minute match outcome. Each market independently resolves based on whether its specific condition occurred, with UEFA.com as the primary resolution source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.