TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Liverpool FC and Galatasaray SK will compete in a UEFA Champions League match scheduled for March 18, 2026. This event group aggregates three binary outcome markets: Liverpool win, Galatasaray win, and draw. All markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Liverpool win, Galatasaray win, draw), where exactly one resolves YES. Kalshi defines three independent YES/NO markets that can all resolve YES simultaneously if the match completes with any outcome. This creates a fundamental logical contradiction: under Kalshi's structure, all three markets resolve YES for any completed match, making the markets non-discriminative and unresolvable as stated.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across both platforms assuming equivalent exposure. On Polymarket, exactly one outcome wins; on Kalshi, all three outcomes resolve YES regardless of the match result. If you hedge by buying YES on all three Kalshi markets, you will profit on all three regardless of the actual match outcome—a logical flaw that suggests Kalshi's market structure may be erroneous or requires clarification from the platform before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one resolves YES and the other two resolve NO based on the 90-minute match outcome. Each market has independent resolution criteria: 'If Liverpool FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' Only the outcome matching the market title resolves YES.Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi defines three independent YES/NO markets with overlapping resolution criteria. All three markets resolve YES if their respective condition is met: 'If Liverpool wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' 'If Galatasaray wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' and 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This means all three markets resolve YES simultaneously for any completed match outcome, contradicting the exclusivity implied by Polymarket's structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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