TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between LIU Sharks and Mercyhurst Lakers scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), multiple spread variations, and over/under total points at different thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Mercyhurst win and LIU win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), eliminating the No outcome and rendering the market unresolvable as a binary.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. Request clarification from Kalshi on the intended resolution logic. The market as drafted cannot distinguish between outcomes and violates basic binary market structure. Polymarket moneyline and spread markets are logically consistent and should be used as the authoritative resolution source.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to LIU Sharks or Mercyhurst Lakers based on final score. Spreads resolve based on margin of victory (LIU by 3+ for -2.5, by 4+ for -3.5). Over/unders resolve based on combined total (135+, 136+, 138+, or 139+ depending on line). All include postponement continuation and 50-50 cancellation clause.Kalshi:
Market states both 'If Mercyhurst wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If LIU wins...resolves to Yes'. No resolution path to No exists. This creates a tautology where every possible game outcome maps to Yes, making the market logically incoherent and unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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