TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between LIU Sharks and Arizona Wildcats on March 20 at 12:00 AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution scopes. Kalshi resolves on which team reaches 10 points first (an early-game micro-event), while Polymarket resolves on the final game outcome, spread, and total points (standard full-game markets). These measure entirely different events.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi's first-to-10 market, your outcome is determined by the opening minutes of play and is independent of the final result. Polymarket bets depend on the complete game. Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket will resolve the same way — a team that reaches 10 first may still lose the game by 40+ points.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi resolves on a micro-event within the game — specifically, which team (Arizona or LIU) reaches 10 points first in the men's college basketball game scheduled for March 20, 2026. The market states 'If Arizona is the first to reach 10 points... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If LIU is the first to reach 10 points... then the market resolves to Yes,' meaning either outcome triggers a YES resolution. This is a binary early-game milestone, not a final-score outcome.Polymarket:
Aligned with standard sports betting convention: Polymarket resolves on the final game outcome (moneyline: LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats), point spread (Arizona -30.5 to -40.5), and combined total points (O/U 147.5 to 160.5). All markets reference 'final score including any overtime periods' and resolve based on complete game results, not early-game events. Polymarket also includes postponement and cancellation clauses (50-50 split if canceled with no makeup).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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