TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between the Little Rock Trojans and Eastern Illinois Panthers scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -1.5 and -2.5, and total points over/under 134.5.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Eastern Illinois win and Little Rock win) are mapped to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline and all derivative markets (spreads, totals) use standard, coherent resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. It is fundamentally broken. Polymarket's three markets (moneyline, -1.5 spread, -2.5 spread, O/U 134.5) are all logically sound and use NCAA.com as the authoritative source. Trade only Polymarket contracts.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states: 'If Eastern Illinois wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Little Rock wins...resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction—both outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes in a binary market. No coherent resolution path exists.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to team name (Little Rock Trojans or Eastern Illinois Panthers) based on final score. Spreads resolve based on margin of victory (Little Rock -1.5 requires 2+ point win; -2.5 requires 3+ point win). Totals resolve based on combined score (Over at 135+, Under below 135). All logic is internally consistent and standard for CBB.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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