TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Lipscomb Bisons and Bellarmine Knights scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), spread (-3.5 Lipscomb), and multiple over/under totals (155.5, 156.5, 157.5, 158.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both Lipscomb win and Bellarmine win are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline markets until clarification is provided. Use Polymarket moneyline, spread, and total markets as the reliable resolution framework. All platforms agree on game date, time, source (NCAA), and edge case handling (postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50).Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline markets state both Lipscomb win and Bellarmine win resolve to Yes. This is logically impossible for a binary outcome. Quote: 'If Lipscomb wins the Lipscomb at Bellarmine men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bellarmine wins the Lipscomb at Bellarmine men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to winner name (Lipscomb Bisons or Bellarmine Knights). Spread resolves binary (Lipscomb if win by 4+, else Bellarmine). Totals resolve binary (Over if 159+, Under if less for 158.5 line, etc.). Quote: 'If the Lipscomb Bisons win, the market will resolve to Lipscomb Bisons. If the Bellarmine Knights win, the market will resolve to Bellarmine Knights.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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