TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Lindenwood Lions and Western Illinois Leathernecks scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this matchup, with different resolution mechanics across platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market has a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Lindenwood win and Western Illinois win) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket has clear, mutually exclusive binary resolution logic.Hero Tip:
This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi. The second resolution condition should almost certainly resolve to No, not Yes. Contact Kalshi support immediately for clarification before trading. Polymarket's market is safe to trade based on standard binary winner logic.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Standard binary winner-take-all structure. Lindenwood win resolves to Lindenwood Lions, Western Illinois win resolves to Western Illinois Leathernecks. Includes edge cases for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key quote: 'If the Lindenwood Lions win, the market will resolve to Lindenwood Lions. If the Western Illinois Leathernecks win, the market will resolve to Western Illinois Leathernecks.'Kalshi:
Contradictory resolution logic where both outcomes resolve to Yes. Lindenwood win = Yes, Western Illinois win = Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot differentiate between outcomes. Key quote: 'If Lindenwood wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Western Illinois wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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