A college basketball game between Liberty Flames and UTEP Miners scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread (-6.5 and -7.5), and over/under totals (137.5, 138.5, 139.5).
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical tautology where both possible game outcomes (UTEP win and Liberty win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. The resolution logic is contradictory and will always resolve Yes regardless of the actual game outcome. All Polymarket contracts (moneyline, spreads, totals) use standard, resolvable logic and are safe to trade. Confirm game completion via NCAA.com before settlement.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market maps both UTEP win and Liberty win to Yes resolution, creating a logical contradiction. Quote: 'If UTEP wins...resolves to Yes. If Liberty wins...resolves to Yes.' This makes the market always resolve Yes and unresolvable as a true binary.
Polymarket:
Moneyline, spread, and total markets all use standard binary logic with mutually exclusive outcomes. Moneyline resolves to either 'Liberty Flames' or 'UTEP Miners'. Spreads resolve based on margin of victory. Totals resolve based on combined score. Quote: 'If the Liberty Flames win, the market will resolve to Liberty Flames. If the UTEP Miners win, the market will resolve to UTEP Miners.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.