TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Liberty Flames and Nevada Wolf Pack on March 21 at 9:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's markets resolve YES for any outcome (Nevada win OR Liberty win), making them logically contradictory and unresolvable. Polymarket's markets properly differentiate outcomes based on moneyline winner, spread thresholds, and over/under totals. This is a fundamental data integrity failure on Kalshi.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi markets in this group entirely — they are mathematically impossible to resolve fairly. All trading should occur on Polymarket, where markets have proper outcome differentiation (Liberty Flames vs. Nevada Wolf Pack for moneyline; spread-based thresholds for point spreads; combined score thresholds for totals).Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Both Kalshi markets state 'If Nevada wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Liberty wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' meaning the market resolves YES regardless of which team wins. This is a logical contradiction that makes the markets unresolvable. Key quote: 'If Nevada wins the Liberty at Nevada men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Liberty wins the Liberty at Nevada men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Aligned with sound resolution logic: Polymarket's moneyline market properly resolves to 'Liberty Flames' if Liberty wins and 'Nevada Wolf Pack' if Nevada wins, with clear outcome differentiation. Spread markets resolve based on margin thresholds (e.g., Nevada -7.5 resolves YES if Nevada wins by 8+), and over/under markets resolve based on combined score thresholds. Key quote: 'If the Liberty Flames win, the market will resolve to Liberty Flames. If the Nevada Wolf Pack win, the market will resolve to Nevada Wolf Pack.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.