Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket resolve based on the outcome of the Leeds United vs. Wolverhampton match on April 18, 2026, within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with identical scope and timing criteria.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Premier League statistics and records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the result of the match after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Leeds United wins, Wolverhampton wins, or the match ends in a draw.
Exactly one outcome will occur and resolve the corresponding market(s) to YES; all other outcomes resolve to NO.
If the match is postponed, markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket draw market resolves YES; Kalshi markets resolve based on the cancellation outcome (treated as a non-result).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a later date.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES; Kalshi's outcome-based markets treat this as a non-event requiring platform discretion.
Resolution Source Timing: Primary resolution uses official Premier League statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result by the Premier League, typically within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.