TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional English Premier League soccer match between Leeds United FC and Sunderland AFC scheduled for March 3, 2026. Markets are offered across Polymarket and Kalshi, with separate binary contracts for Leeds win, Sunderland win, and draw outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with an internal logical contradiction in the Draw market cancellation clause, while Kalshi uses a unified three-outcome market structure. Both platforms agree on the 90-minute plus stoppage time scope and primary resolution source (official governing body), but the market architecture and cancellation handling differ.Hero Tip:
Treat the Polymarket Draw market cancellation clause as a documentation error; assume it resolves No on cancellation to align with Leeds and Sunderland markets. For clean resolution logic, reference Kalshi's three-outcome structure. Always confirm final match status via Premier League official sources within 2 hours of match conclusion.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Leeds Win Yes/No, Draw Yes/No, Sunderland Win Yes/No). Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Cancellation: Leeds and Sunderland markets resolve No; Draw market resolves Yes (logical inconsistency). Resolution source: Official Premier League statistics or credible consensus if not published within 2 hours. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (Draw market only).Kalshi:
Single three-outcome market where Leeds Win, Sunderland Win, and Tie each resolve to Yes based on the final 90-minute result. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excludes extra time and penalties. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key Quote: 'If Tie wins the Leeds United vs Sunderland professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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