A college basketball game between Le Moyne Dolphins and New Haven Chargers scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and total points scored across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both Le Moyne winning and New Haven winning are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a binary Yes/No market structure. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. Request confirmation of whether the market should resolve Yes only for Le Moyne victory, or if there is a different market structure intended. Polymarket moneyline and spread markets are logically sound and can be traded with confidence.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to winner name; spreads resolve based on point differential thresholds; totals resolve based on combined score. All use final score including overtime. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Logic is internally consistent across all market types.
Kalshi:
Market states: 'If Le Moyne wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If New Haven wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot resolve to the same binary result. This is a logical contradiction that prevents proper market resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.