TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Ligue 1 soccer match between Le Havre AC and Paris Saint-Germain FC scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets across platforms are betting on the final outcome (PSG win, Le Havre win, or draw) as determined by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation rules and presents three mutually exclusive outcomes all marked to resolve Yes, creating logical ambiguity. Polymarket explicitly resolves draw to Yes on cancellation but PSG and Le Havre wins to No.Hero Tip:
If the game is canceled with no makeup, Polymarket draw bettors win (Yes), while PSG and Le Havre bettors lose (No). Kalshi's intent is unclear—assume only the actual outcome resolves Yes if the game is played. Request Kalshi clarification on cancellation protocol before the event date.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Three binary markets, each tied to a single outcome (PSG win, Le Havre win, tie). All three are stated to resolve Yes if their respective outcome occurs. No explicit cancellation clause. Logical issue: in a completed game, exactly one outcome occurs, so only one market should resolve Yes. Interpretation: Kalshi likely intends standard three-way resolution (one Yes, two No), but wording is ambiguous.Polymarket:
Three separate markets: (1) Draw market resolves Yes if draw, No otherwise; on cancellation, resolves Yes. (2) PSG win market resolves Yes if PSG wins, No otherwise; on cancellation, resolves No. (3) Le Havre win market resolves Yes if Le Havre wins, No otherwise; on cancellation, resolves No. Explicit cancellation rules provided for all three.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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