TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Ligue 1 soccer match between Le Havre AC and AJ Auxerre scheduled for April 5, 2026. Markets are offered on both platforms to predict the outcome: Le Havre win, Auxerre win, or draw, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's draw market resolves YES for all three possible outcomes (Le Havre win, Auxerre win, and tie), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's draw market is logically sound and resolves YES only on a tie.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's draw market entirely until the platform issues a correction. The resolution criteria as written guarantee a YES resolution regardless of match outcome, which violates basic market logic. Trade only on Polymarket for this event group, or wait for Kalshi to clarify.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: Le Havre win (YES if Le Havre wins), Auxerre win (YES if Auxerre wins), and Draw (YES if match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time). Draw resolves YES if game is canceled with no makeup. Resolution source is official Ligue 1 statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.Kalshi:
Single market with three resolution criteria, but all three outcomes (Le Havre win, Auxerre win, Tie) are stated to resolve to YES. Quote: 'If Tie wins... then resolves to Yes. If Le Havre wins... then resolves to Yes. If Auxerre wins... then resolves to Yes.' This is logically contradictory and unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.