TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Lamar Cardinals and Incarnate Word Cardinals scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Incarnate Word win and Lamar win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the platform clarifies the intended resolution logic. The current wording guarantees Yes resolution regardless of outcome, which violates basic market design. Polymarket's binary structure is the correct model for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Standard binary winner-take-all model. Lamar win resolves to Lamar Cardinals; Incarnate Word win resolves to Incarnate Word Cardinals. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Contradictory dual-Yes resolution. Both 'If Incarnate Word wins' and 'If Lamar wins' are stated to resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No path to No resolution exists under any game outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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