TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors scheduled for April 9, 2026. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with the final score including any overtime periods determining the outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (Warriors win OR Lakers win), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes (Lakers, Warriors, or specific spread/total thresholds). This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi's side.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline market — it contains a logical contradiction that guarantees resolution failure. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, totals, player props, halftime markets) are properly structured and resolvable. If you hold Kalshi exposure, seek clarification or withdrawal before April 9, 2026.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) states 'If Golden State wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Los Angeles L wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes trigger YES resolution, violating basic market coherence. No other platform shares this broken logic.Polymarket:
Aligned with sound market design principles: Polymarket structures 52 distinct, logically coherent markets across moneyline, spreads, totals, player props, and halftime variants. Each market has mutually exclusive outcomes (e.g., 'Lakers' vs. 'Warriors' for moneyline; 'Over' vs. 'Under' for totals; 'Yes' vs. 'No' for player props). All resolve based on official NBA box scores and halftime scores, with consistent postponement and cancellation rules (50-50 split if canceled with no makeup). Example: 'If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to Lakers. If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to Warriors.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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