TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 25 at 6:00PM ET: If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Two distinct market types with different resolution scopes and mechanics. Polymarket resolves on binary game outcome; Kalshi resolves on individual player rebounding performance. No direct contradiction, but fundamentally separate markets.Hero Tip:
Treat these as independent markets. Polymarket is a game outcome bet; Kalshi props are player performance bets. A Knicks win does not guarantee any specific Kalshi prop outcome. Monitor player injury reports and rebounding trends separately for each Kalshi market. Clarify Kalshi's postponement policy for props before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary game outcome market. Resolves to 'Knicks' if Knicks win, 'Hawks' if Hawks win, or 50-50 if game is canceled with no makeup. Postponed games remain open until completion. Final score including overtime determines result. Source: NBA.com.Kalshi:
50 individual player rebounding prop markets. Each resolves YES if the named player records the specified rebound threshold (ranging from 2+ to 16+ rebounds). No explicit cancellation or postponement language provided. All props reference the same game scheduled for April 25, 2026.
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